Aviation: RPK +10.7%, ASK +8.5% and Load Factor at 83.4% in May 2024

Dark/Light Mode (04/07/24)  IATA's data for May 2024 shows that total demand, measured in revenue passenger kilometers (RPK), was up 10.7% compared to May 2023.

Total capacity, measured in available seat kilometers (ASK), was up 8.5% year-on-year, whilst load factor during the month was 83.4% (+1.7ppt compared to May 2023), a record high for May.

International demand rose 14.6% compared to May 2023. Capacity was up 14.1% year-on- year and the load factor improved to 82.8% (+0.3ppt on May 2023).

Domestic demand rose 4.7% compared to May 2023; capacity was up 0.1% year-on-year and the load factor was 84.5% (+3.8ppt compared to May 2023).

British Airways A380 reg: G-XLED. Picture by Steven Howard of TravelNewsAsia.com

“With May ticket sales for early peak-season travel up nearly 6%, the growth trend shows no signs of abating. Airlines are doing everything they can to ensure smooth journeys for all travelers over the peak northern summer period. But our expectations of air navigation service providers (ANSP) are already being tested,” said Willie Walsh, IATA’s Director General. “With 5.2 million minutes of air traffic control delays racked up in Europe even before the peak season begins, it is clear that Europe’s ANSPs have unresolved challenges. And the 32,000 flight delays over the Memorial Day weekend in May show that challenges persist in the US too. Airlines are accountable to their customers; ANSPs must be as well. ANSP performance matters to their airline customers and to millions of travelers. We all need them to do their job efficiently.”

All regions showed strong growth for international passenger markets in May 2024 compared to May last year, whilst load factor increased in all regions except North America.

Asia-Pacific airlines continue to lead the way, with a 27% year-on-year increase in demand. Capacity increased 26% y-o-y and load factor rose to 81.6%, +0.6ppt compared to May 2023. This performance maintains Asian carriers as the largest contributor to industry-wide growth in May, accounting for 42% of the y-o-y increase.

European carriers saw an 11.7% y-o-y increase in demand, capacity was up 11.3% y-o-y, and load factor was 84.7%, up 0.3ppt compared to May 2023.

Middle Eastern airlines saw a 9.7% y-o-y increase in demand, capacity jumped 9% y-o-y and load factor increased 0.5ppt to 80.7% compared to May 2023. Asian routes to the Middle East are particularly strong, now standing some 32% higher than in 2019. Another notable development is the Europe-Middle East route, which saw an April-May RPK increase for two years in a row, reversing the previous historic pattern of a decline between these months. In the coming months, it will become clearer to what extent these trends could be related to the Russia-Ukraine war.

North American carriers saw an 8.1% y-o-y increase in demand, capacity was up 9.7% y-o-y, and load factor fell to 84%, -1.2ppt compared to May 2023.

Latin American airlines saw a 15.9% y-o-y increase in demand, capacity climbed 14.3%, whilst load factor rose to 85.1%, +1.2ppt compared to May 2023, the highest among the regions.

African airlines saw a 14.1% y-o-y increase in demand, capacity jumped 8.2%, with load factor rising to 72.3%, +3.7ppt compared to May 2023 - the fastest increase in load factor among all regions, although Africa still has the lowest load factor overall.

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